More on the oil spill

May 28th, 2010 § 0

The oil cometh.
Again, I note that despite the vol­ume of oil lost over the last 30-someodd days, the world still awaits pho­tos of ter­ri­ble envi­ron­men­tal destruc­tions.
Again, Politi­cians, tone down the rhetoric. Yes, this is a ter­ri­ble spill. Yes, the poten­tial of large, expen­sive prob­lems cer­tainly looms. How­ever, blam­ing ‘greedy’ cor­po­ra­tions and shut­ting down oil drilling is not a solu­tion nor a good reac­tion. We don’t cease air­line flights or dri­ving when a crash occurs.
A quick review of the mag­ni­tude of the prob­lem– the largest in U.S. his­tory:
The high esti­mate is 19,000 bar­rels per day. (At cur­rent oil prices, that’s nearly 1.5 mil­lion dol­lars lost per day.)
19,000 barrels/day X 42 gallons/barrel X 1 day/ 86,400 sec­onds
= 9.2 gal­lons per sec­ond, or 554 gal­lons a minute.

This is about the same flow rate as a 3-inch fire­hose is capa­ble of. Men­tally then, think of that– a fire­hose of oil, run­ning a mile below the surface.

The Oil Spill

May 13th, 2010 § 0

British Petro­leum appears to have a seri­ous prob­lem in the Gulf of Mex­ico. Up to 60,000 Bar­rels of oil are leak­ing from well each day. For those inclined towards eso­teric mea­sure­ments, this is 2.6 Sat­urn Rock­ets worth of liq­uid each day.
So it’s a bad spill, the worst being the Ixtoc spill in 1979 which leaked 3 mil­lion bar­rels of oil. This cur­rent spill could reach that amount towards the end of May. Thank­fully, quite a bit has been done so far to reduce the amount of oil on the water as well as pre­vent­ing it from reach­ing land.
One thing to be thank­ful for: this spill has occurred in the Mis­sis­sippi ‘Dead Zone’, where fer­til­iz­ers washed out to sea accel­er­ate algae growth, which sucks all the oxy­gen from the water. In other words, there isn’t much wildlife to be harmed in the affected area, either by the oil or the oil dis­per­sant chem­i­cals. One envi­ron­men­tal tragedy lessens another. Yay, I think.

Some groups are call­ing for the stop­page of all off-shore drilling. This is silly– we don’t stop using cars or air­planes because one crashes. We do learn from the acci­dents and improve things, and that is what we must do here. I’m less con­cerned about blame and more con­cerned about how fail-proof machin­ery did fail.
Some comments:

  • First, I note that lit­tle or no oil has actu­ally touched land yet. I grow weary of the breath­less talk and speeches of impend­ing doom.
  • Next, I’ve seen a fair amount of aer­ial and water­borne footage pur­port­ing to show oil, but based on the ruddy color and con­sis­tency, it looks more like algae to me.
  • Fur­ther­more, the oil from this well is sup­pos­edly ‘light’ oil– very dif­fer­ent from the thick crude we all remem­ber see­ing dur­ing the Valdez acci­dent. (The oil has been described as ‘tea-like’.) This oil will dis­perse much faster– even evap­o­rate– than the Alaskan crude oil did. The warmth of the water and the microbes will accel­er­ate this further.
  • Finally, there is a small 8 cent tax on each bar­rel of oil extracted from off­shore wells in the Gulf. This may not sound like much, but it all goes into the billion-dollar Oil Spill Lia­bil­ity Trust Fund. This fund pro­vides money for gov­ern­ment agen­cies and costs asso­ci­ated with cleanup of an oil spill.
  • On the grip­ping hand, accord­ing to the Oil Pol­lu­tion Act, BP will be pay­ing sub­stan­tial fees merely for being respon­si­ble for the spill. In my quick review, I see BP on the hook for a $75 mil­lion dol­lar fine, plus cleanup costs. In addi­tion, civil penal­ties of $25,000 per day may be assessed. In other words, BP has a very sub­stan­tial incen­tive to deal with this prob­lem as quickly as possible.

An algae bloom:

Algae Bloom

Algae Bloom

A photo of the sup­posed oil spill:

Supposed oil slick

Sup­posed oil slick

My final sug­ges­tion– the press and the politi­cians need to dial it back a cou­ple notches. The adver­sar­ial rela­tion­ship I see pro­jected (in the always fair and accu­rate media) is the less-effective way to deal with this problem.

Dad comes home on Saturday

May 13th, 2010 § 0

Yep, he’s get­ting out, after more than a month. Read more.

Now Dad’s on the move

May 3rd, 2010 § 0

Dad is being moved to the Health­South phys­i­cal rehab cen­ter this after­noon. Also, his last IV line has been removed, leav­ing him quite un-Borg-like.

Dad gets moved

April 30th, 2010 § 0

Dad is being moved to the Wood­land Park Reha­bil­i­ta­tion cen­ter this after­noon. Read about it here.

About Dad

April 29th, 2010 § 0

My Father is still in the hos­pi­tal after receiv­ing emer­gency sep­tu­ple bypass surgery. Read about it here.

Source Code Control

March 19th, 2010 § 0

The busi­ness of soft­ware devel­op­ment is comic. You’d expect that the peo­ple who make com­put­ers do all that whiz-bang stuff would have awe­some star-trek-like tools at their fin­ger­tips.
Nope.
Here, now, in the Twenty-First Cen­tury, soft­ware devel­op­ment is still done in plain text. Peo­ple, under­stand: a Word or Excel doc­u­ment is an incred­i­bly sophis­ti­cated chunk of tech­nol­ogy. Soft­ware code is just… text. Noth­ing else. Office doc­u­ments have Revi­sion con­trol, secu­rity, stored undo infor­ma­tion and all man­ner of stuff. Com­puter code is just… text.
How­ever, devel­op­ers have an awe­some tool in their arse­nal: Source Code Con­trol. Sim­ply, this is a pro­gram which man­ages all the text files which are used to cre­ate a com­puter pro­gram. All the files for cre­at­ing a spe­cific pro­gram are known as a project. Source Code Con­trol allows many peo­ple to work on the same files at the same time– it fig­ures out how to merge all the changes together. Not only that, it allows devel­op­ers to move back­wards in time, or it allows the cre­ation and merg­ing of copies (branches) of the code. It’s very handy, and I’m sur­prised that large offices have never picked up on this. Most of the time, doc­u­ments are strewn about on peo­ples com­put­ers or the office network.

The point of this dis­cus­sion is a rel­a­tively new direc­tion in Source Code Con­trol, known as Dis­trib­uted Ver­sion Con­trol. This intro­duces a sub­tle but very awe­some capa­bil­ity: you no longer need to be con­stantly con­nected to the cen­tral source to com­mit changes. I could be in a sub­ma­rine, com­pletely cut off from the world, but still have all the advan­tages of com­mits, roll­backs and his­tory on my lap­top. When I do get back in touch, my changes auto­mat­i­cally get merged with every­thing else. This is pos­si­ble because these new Dis­trib­uted Ver­sion Con­trol sys­tems track my changes instead of my ver­sions.
I’m excited about this because of a pet peeve: sav­ing files. Why do we save files? Why does google docs (or Word, Excel, etc.) have a pic­ture of a square thing that we click on to per­sist the changes we’ve made? (It’s a floppy disc, which I haven’t seen in real life for a decade. My chil­dren are more likely to see a mam­moth in their life­time than a phys­i­cal floppy disc.)
What I think is going to hap­pen is this: the con­cept of ‘sav­ing’ is going to fade away. Every key­stroke will be imme­di­ately saved away– after all, these are merely changes to a blank doc­u­ment. Office doc­u­ments, spread­sheets, com­puter code, pho­tographs, movies– all will be saved. Per­ma­nently. This will have tremen­dous long-term con­se­quences on data stor­age and pri­vacy, which we will need to con­sider.
The days of ‘the power went out and I lost my work’ are going away.

Nikon LS-5000 on Windows 7 64-bit

February 6th, 2010 § 0

I like pho­tog­ra­phy, and I’ve been using a Nikon LS-5000 scan­ner to bring my old slides and neg­a­tives into the dig­i­tal world.
Nikon, on the other hand, hasn’t been coop­er­at­ing. I’ve been using 64-bit Win­dows 7 for, wow, nearly a year now. No updates from Nikon for any­thing beyond 32-bit. Great scan­ners, Nikon, it would be nice if we could use them!
Any­how, I found a great site that tells how to get your favorite Nikon Scan­ner (LS-40, LS-50 and LS-5000) work­ing on 64-bit Win­dows.
http://axelriet.blogspot.com/2009/10/nikon-ls-40-ls-50-ls-5000-scanners-on.html

How many brands?

February 5th, 2010 § 0

Saw this in my local gro­cery. Some­how, I was reminded of “Where’s Waldo?”

The cellular future

January 25th, 2010 § 0

Did you know the future gets closer– every day!
By the end of 2009, around 4.6 bil­lion cell phones were in use– nearly 70% of the world pop­u­la­tion, and nearly the entire adult pop­u­la­tion. This is an amaz­ing sta­tis­tic! In prod­uct terms, cell phones rival food. Only oxy­gen and sun­light have a solid lead on cell phone use.
Cur­rently, most of these phones are pretty basic– phone calls only. This will change rapidly. Soon, more than half of cell phones will be internet-capable. They will have cam­eras, GPS receivers and all sorts of doo­dads. They will also be pro­gram­ma­ble, with thou­sands of down­load­able appli­ca­tions. These appli­ca­tions are the key to suc­cess of these bil­lions of mobile devices. They will cater to the myr­iad needs of mankind– whether it is help­ing a New Yorker find a great new place for lunch or a Niger­ian dry farmer plan his crop and coor­di­nate a plant­ing sched­ule with nearby farm­ers.
In terms of ‘sur­vival of the fittest’, these devices help make us ‘fit­ter’. Com­bin­ing sub­stan­tial com­pu­ta­tional power, inter­net access and the need of the moment, these devices allow us to respond more pow­er­fully to our momen­tary needs.
I fore­see not only GPS and cam­era ubiq­uity in these phones, but also barom­e­ters, ther­mome­ters, incli­nome­ters, and mag­ne­tome­ters. Pos­si­bly some sort of laser or sonar-based mea­sure­ment capa­bil­ity as well. Also, there will be built-in net­work­ing of sub­stan­tial sophis­ti­ca­tion. Phones will be able to ‘talk’ with one another, shar­ing user data, posi­tion infor­ma­tion and per­haps even using shared sig­nals. In many places, you will be able to use your phone like a remote con­trol– order­ing a soda from a vend­ing machine just by point­ing and click­ing (there’ll be an app for that). Also, data col­lected by these devices (baro­met­ric pres­sure, for exam­ple) will be sharable with the NOAA or other trusted orga­ni­za­tions.
There will be inter­est­ing social effects. Par­ents will be thought odd if their chil­dren do not have a cell phone. “How do you know if they’re okay?” will be the ques­tion. Gov­ern­ments every­where will seek the abil­ity to push and pull data from these devices. Emer­gency broad­casts and even ‘a direct line to the peo­ple’ will be the rea­son­ing. We may even see true democracy-style remote vot­ing tried in smaller pop­u­la­tions.
Get set, these phones are gonna be every­where.